Market Economics
at
www.scienceandresearchdevelopmentinstitute.comLast updated on Sept 13, 2010
Short Papers
1.
Predicting Price, Turnover and Employment at Market Balance (pdf) 188 kb, published on Sept 13, 2010 Abstract: A comprehensive approach to predicting the growth and employment in various niches of the economy is presented, based on a precise formulation of the market supply and demand with several function variables and software development suitable for event-based and judgmental forecasting. The function variables include propensity to consume, consumer budget, interest rate - inflation quotient, propensity to sell, value added tax, profit, price volatility, market share and market diversity-technical level. Forecasting with the end-user software spans one year in monthly increments.2.
The Gold Standard Straitjacket Revisited: Stimulating the Economy by Using Public Debt as a Lever (pdf) 172 kb, published on Sept 13, 2010 Abstract: The scenario of relief from public debt (monetizing debt) is analyzed by taking into account factors on the international and domestic arenas as well as evaluating empirical findings in the history of market economics. The effects of relief from public debt are simulated in the form of strengthened consumer budgets (tax cuts) based on a quantitative formulation of the demand and supply as implemented in software. It is concluded that relief from public debt is a viable alternative to austerity measures and is more in accordance with the historical evolution of welfare societies up to present times.Books
Quantitative Market Economics, 200 pp., 200 eqs. (
Summary )Software Downloads in Market Forecasting , Business Forecasting
Market Forecasting Ver. 3.1
Operating System: Windows ® (Win 95, 98, 2000, NT, XP, , Vista 32bit, Linux and others with suitable DOS-emulator)
Processor: 8086/8088, From 75 MHz or faster
Language, Menus: English
Languages, Keyboard Input: Western European (Latin alphabet)
Hard Disk Memory requirement: From 20 MB
Size: 2 MB
Description: Performs calculations of price, item turnover and value turnover at market balance with graphic display and hard disk storage of the results. The user defines a market scope by naming items and then writes arbitrary verbal statements about market events, schedules the onset of an effect of these events, and makes general or item-specific estimations in terms of consumers� budgets, propensity to consume, inflation, interest rates, profit, VAT, propensity to sell, technical level, market volatility and/or market share. Transient effects on the market can also be defined.
Once the data have been entered, the program prints a graphic display with monthly projections spanning a year, stores selected numerical values on the hard disk and writes a verbally expressed forecast, all in only 5 clicks. Up to 9 items on three different markets can be handled in the program window using mouse clicks and the keyboard. The program orders the items starting from a) highest projected value turnover and b) lowest price. It also calculates monthly buy and sell recommendations for each item individually and calculates a trading index comprising all items and an employment forecast related to selected items. Other features include orders and work input required to deliver on time and a calendar. The program can be installed in triplicate on the same computer allowing 9 x 3 items on three different markets to be analyzed conveniently. If data folders are dragged out and into the program target folder the limits are set by the computer�s memory only.
Users: Software is intended for use by forecasters, small businesses, medium or large size enterprises including the manufacturing industry, entrepreneurs, retailers doing shelf stock forecasts, investors, and anyone else working with or interested in predicting market trends. Students of economics and business may find it useful for evaluating market balance problems.
The full version of this program is occasionally available at self-cost on ebay.com. If interested, go to ebay and search in title for: Market Forecasting
A small program can be downloaded here for the purpose of testing any computer's operative system for program compatibility: DOSTEST.EXE (60kB) (March -07). The complete software tutorial can be downloaded for evaluation purposes via ebay routines.
Further details about the program can be found
HERE.INSTRUCTIONS FOR TEST PROGRAM: Click on the link "DOSTEST.EXE" above and choose the option "Save to Disk". Once download is complete, double-click on the program icon. Installing is not necessary, uninstall by dragging the icon to the bin. Security settings in Win Vista and Win XP may prevent the program from running. In XP, run the program 'as an administrator'. In 'Vista', right-click on the program icon, select properties, compatibility tab, and 'run as administrator'. If the mouse is not effective over the program window in Win 2000, right-click over the progam icon, select properties and disable 'Quick-Edit' mode. Choose to disable Quick-Edit in all applications of the same type. Restart the program after the changes have been made! Other versions of 'Windows' may require other settings. The program also runs in 'DOS-emulator' environments such as provided by www.dosemu.org and www.dosbox.com and can thus be made to run under Linux and other operative systems. Some recent Linux releases (RedHat) come with a DOS-emulator. There are also DOS-emulators for Win CE available on the Internet, for example XT-CE, PocketDOS, etc. Win Vista 64bit lacks a DOS-emulator of its own and must be upgraded.
WARRANTY: No registry editing or commands well known to be potentially harmful to a computer were used in the programming code. Commands or any routines involving the communications port have not been used at all. All code has been written exclusively for the purpose of promoting and maintaining the visible functionality of the program.
DISCLAIMER: The user only must decide whether or not the program can be run safely on the local system. The user only must decide whether or not the forecast given by the software is applicable in the local context. No guarantee can be given that the software is error-free.
COPYRIGHT: The software is based on copyright-registered scripts. It is available on CD or SD-card. The downloadable DOSTEST.EXE may be evaluated and redistributed freely provided it is not altered.